Published September 25, 2022 12:12pm Updated September 25, 2022 12:27pm
Two areas were placed under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 5 on Sunday morning as Super Typhoon Karding (international name: Noru) intensified further while moving towards the northern portion of Quezon and southern portion of Aurora, PAGASA said in its 11 a.m. severe weather bulletin.
TCWS No. 5 was hoisted over the following areas:
Polillo Islands; and
the extreme northern portion of Quezon (the northern and central portions of General Nakar, and the northeastern portion of Infanta).
These areas may expect very strong winds of more than 185 km/h in at least 12 hours. Winds may also result in extreme threat to life and property, PAGASA said.
Under TCWS No. 4, meanwhile, were the following:
the southern portion of Aurora (San Luis, Dingalan, Baler, Maria Aurora);
the northern portion of Quezon (the rest of General Nakar, the rest of Infanta, Real);
the southeastern portion of Nueva Ecija (Gabaldon, General Tinio, City of Gapan, Peñaranda);
the eastern and central portions of Bulacan (Doña Remedios Trinidad, Norzagaray, San Miguel, San Ildefonso, San Rafael, Angat, City of San Jose del Monte);
the northeastern portion of Rizal (Rodriguez, City of Antipolo, Tanay, San Mateo, Baras); and
the extreme northern portion of Laguna (Famy, Siniloan, Santa Maria, Pangil).
These areas will have winds of greater than 118 km/h up to 184 km/h in at least 12 hours. Winds may also result in significant to severe threat to life, PAGASA said.
On the other hand, the following areas were placed under TCWS No. 3:
the central portion of Aurora (Dipaculao);
the southeastern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Alfonso Castaneda, Dupax del Sur, Dupax del Norte);
the rest of Nueva Ecija;
the rest of Bulacan;
the rest of Rizal;
the northern and central portions of Laguna (Mabitac, Pakil, Paete, Kalayaan, Lumban, Cavinti, Pagsanjan, Luisiana, Majayjay, Magdalena, Santa Cruz, Pila, Liliw, Nagcarlan, Victoria, Rizal, City of San Pedro, City of Biñan, City of Santa Rosa, Cabuyao City, City of Calamba, Los Baños, Bay, Calauan);
the northeastern portion of Cavite (Bacoor City, Imus City, Kawit, City of Dasmariñas, Carmona, Gen. Mariano Alvarez, City of General Trias, Rosario, Silang);
the rest of the northern portion of Quezon (Infanta, Real, General Nakar, Mauban); and
the northern portion of Camarines Norte (Vinzons, Paracale, Jose Panganiban, Capalonga).
These areas may expect winds of greater than 89 km/h up to 117 km/h in at least 18 hours. Winds may also result to moderate to significant threat to life and property, PAGASA said.
Placed under TCWS No. 2 with winds of greater than 62 km/h and up to 88 km/h in at least 24 hours are:
the southern portion of Isabela (Dinapigue, San Guillermo, Echague, San Agustin, Jones);
the rest of Nueva Vizcaya;
the rest of Aurora;
the rest of Cavite;
the rest of Laguna;
the central portions of Quezon (Calauag, Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Tagkawayan, Guinayangan, Sampaloc, Lucban, City of Tayabas, Lucena City, Pagbilao, Padre Burgos, Atimonan, Agdangan, Unisan, Plaridel, Gumaca, Lopez, Pitogo, Dolores, Candelaria, Sariaya, Tiaong, San Antonio, Macalelon, General Luna, Catanauan, Buenavista);
the rest of Camarines Norte;
the northern portion of Camarines Sur (Del Gallego, Ragay, Lupi, Sipocot, Libmanan, Pamplona, Pasacao, San Fernando, Pili, Minalabac, Ocampo, Tigaon, Cabusao, Magarao, Gainza, Canaman, Camaligan, Milaor, Naga City, Bombon, Calabanga, Tinambac, Siruma, Goa, Lagonoy, San Jose, Garchitorena, Presentacion, Caramoan, Sagñay); and
TCWS No. 1, where winds of 39-61 km/h may be expected in at least 36 hours or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours, is in effect over:
the southern portion of Cagayan (Tuao, Solana, Enrile, Tuguegarao City, Iguig, Peñablanca);
the rest of Isabela;
the southern portion of Apayao (Conner);
the southern portion of Ilocos Norte (Nueva Era, Badoc, Pinili, Banna, City of Batac, Currimao, Paoay, Marcos);
the rest of Quezon;
the northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Abra de Ilog, Paluan, Mamburao, Santa Cruz) including Lubang Islands;
the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, City of Calapan, Naujan, Victoria, Pola, Socorro, Pinamalayan);
the rest of Camarines Sur;
Burias Island; and
As of 10 a.m., PAGASA said Karding’s center was located 175 kilometers east of Infanta, Quezon with maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 240 km/h, and central pressure of 920 hPa.
At present, the super typhoon is moving westward at 20 km/h.
It also has strong to typhoon-force winds extending outwards up to 290 km from the center.
PAGASA said Karding will likely make landfall in the vicinity of the northern portion of Quezon or the southern portion of Aurora on Sunday night.
However, the state weather bureau said that the possibility of an earlier (afternoon) landfall or close approach in the vicinity of Polillo Islands is not ruled out.
Track, intensity outlook
According to PAGASA, Karding is forecast to track generally westward in the next six to 12 hours, then west northwestward for the remainder of Sunday.
After it makes landfall, from Sunday night until Monday early morning, Karding will traverse the landmass of Central Luzon and emerge over the West Philippine Sea via the coastal waters of Zambales or Pangasinan.
It will then continue tracking generally westward over the West Philippine Sea for the remainder of the forecast period.
PAGASA said Karding is forecast to continue intensifying and may make landfall at or near a peak intensity of 185-205 km/h.
“Frictional effects during landfall and traverse of the Luzon landmass will weaken Karding throughout the evening through tomorrow early morning, although it is highly likely that this tropical cyclone will remain a typhoon while crossing the landmass,” it added.
PAGASA said moderate to heavy rains may prevail over Isabela, Aurora, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Isabela.
Mainland Cagayan, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Marinduque, Romblon, and the rest of Bicol Region may experience light to moderate with at times heavy rains.
For Sunday afternoon through Monday early morning, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains are expected over Metro Manila, Zambales, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Aurora, Rizal, and the northern portion of Quezon including Polillo Islands.
Meanwhile, Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Benguet, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Pangasinan, Cavite, Laguna, the central portion of Quezon, and Camarines Norte will have moderate to heavy with at times intense rains.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains meanwhile are to be expected in Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, and the rest of Calabarzon and Bicol Region, PAGASA said.
For Monday early morning through early afternoon, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains will prevail over Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, and Bulacan.
On the other hand, moderate to heavy with at times intense rains will be experienced in Metro Manila, Pangasinan, Cavite, Occidental Mindoro, and the rest of Central Luzon.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will pour over Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Oriental Mindoro, and the rest of Calabarzon, PAGASA added.
PAGASA warned that under such conditions, scattered to widespread flooding and rain-induced landslides are expected.
Due to the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) enhanced by Karding, occasional to monsoon rains are also possible over Visayas and the rest of Southern Luzon.
PAGASA said there is a high to very high risk of storm surge more than 3.0 m in height in the low-lying and exposed coastal areas of northern Quezon including Polillo Islands and Aurora.
“A moderate to high risk of storm surge is also possible over Camarines Norte, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bulacan, the northern portion of Metro Manila, the southern portion of La Union, and the rest of Quezon,” it said.
“The combined effects of storm surge and high waves breaking along the coast may cause life-threatening and damaging inundation or flooding,” it added.
Under the influence of Karding, a marine gale warning remains in effect over the eastern and western seaboards of Luzon.
In the next 24 hours, the super typhoon and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will also bring moderate to rough seas over the northern and western seaboards of Luzon that are not under any gale warning (1.5 to 3.5 m) and the western seaboard of Visayas (1.2 to 2.5 m).
PAGASA warned that these conditions may be risky for those using small seacraft while mariners are also advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions.
Classes for Monday, September 26, have been canceled in some areas due to the bad weather expected.
Some flights for Sunday, September 25, were also canceled by airport authorities.
The Quezon provincial government has ordered the forced evacuation of residents in coastal and landslide-prone areas in Polillo Islands. —KG, GMA News