Severe Tropical Storm “Tino”

Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #3

Issued at 11:00 pm, 02 November 2025

(Valid for broadcast until the next advisory to be issued at 5:00 AM tomorrow)

“TINO” FURTHER INTENSIFIES AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 6 issued at 11:00 PM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the Shear Line and TINO.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted
Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal that will likely be hoisted throughout its passage is Wind Signal No. 4.
Furthermore the surge of the Northeast Monsoon coinciding with the passage of TINO will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas not under Wind Signal (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
Today: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, the northern and eastern portion of mainland Cagayan, the eastern portion of Isabela, Aurora, Quezon, Lubang Islands, Marinduque, Calaguas Islands, and Caluya Islands
Tomorrow (03 November): Most of Cagayan Valley, most of Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Aurora, Bulacan, Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region.
Tuesday (04 November): Most of Cagayan Valley, most of Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, most of Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region.
Coastal Flooding
There is a high risk of life-threatening and damaging storm surge within the next 48 hours over the low-lying coastal communities of Sorsogon, Masbate, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Visayas, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 2 issued at 8:00 PM today for more details.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao. Refer to Gale Warning No. 1 issued at 11:00 PM today.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough or high seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 7.0 m: The seaboard of Eastern Samar
Up to 6.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands.
Up to 5.5 m: The eastern seaboard of Sorsogon; the seaboards of Northern Samar.
Up to 5.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the eastern seaboard of Albay.
Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Aurora, northern mainland Quezon, Camarines Norte; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands and Dinagat Islands; the eastern seaboards of mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Leyte, and Southern Leyte.
Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the seaboards of Ilocos Sur and Surigao del Sur; the remaining seaboards of Dinagat Islands and Surigao del Norte
Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 2.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Catanduanes and Eastern Visayas.
Up to 2.0 m: The seaboard of La Union, Central Visayas, Northern Mindanao, and Davao Occidental; the eastern seaboard of mainland Quezon and Davao Oriental; the western seaboard of Pangasinan; the remaining seaboards of Bicol Region and Caraga Region.
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to hoisted Wind Signals and the “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” section for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
On the track forecast, TINO will move generally westward until Tuesday and may make its initial landfall over Eastern Samar, Leyte, or Dinagat Islands tomorrow (03 November) late evening or on Tuesday (04 November) early morning. Afterwards, TINO will traverse Visayas and northern Palawan before emerging over the West Philippine Sea on Wednesday (05 November) morning.
TINO is forecast to continuously intensify and may reach typhoon category within the next 12 hours. Furthermore, it will likely make its initial landfall at or near peak intensity (currently forecasted around 150-165 km/h maximum winds with higher gustiness). Rapid intensification within the next 48 hours is likely. The possibility of reaching super typhoon category is not ruled out based on alternate scenarios and climatological data. While its interaction with the terrain will trigger a slight weakening, TINO is expected to remain as a typhoon throughout its passage over the country.

Location of Eye/center

The center of Severe Tropical Storm TINO was estimated based on all available data at 605 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (11.4 °N, 131.3 °E )

Movement

Moving Westward at 30 km/h

Strength

Maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 125 km/h

Forecast Position

Nov 03, 2025 08:00 AM – 365 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Nov 03, 2025 08:00 PM – 120 km East Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Nov 04, 2025 08:00 AM – Over the coastal waters of Tabogon, Cebu
Nov 04, 2025 08:00 PM – Over the coastal waters of Tibiao, Antique
Nov 05, 2025 08:00 AM – Over the coastal waters of El Nido, Palawan
Nov 05, 2025 08:00 PM – 405 km West of Coron, Palawan
Nov 06, 2025 08:00 PM – 1,080 km West of Southwestern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
Nov 07, 2025 08:00 PM – 1,390 km West of Central Luzon or in the vicinity of Chavan, Laos (OUTSIDE PAR)

Wind Signal (Areas with TCWS)

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no.
Affected Areas	Luzon The southern portion of Sorsogon (Barcelona, Bulusan, Magallanes, Gubat, Santa Magdalena, Casiguran, Juban, Bulan, Irosin, Matnog) and Masbate including Ticao Island Visayas The rest of Eastern Samar, Northern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Cebu including Camotes Islands and Bantayan Islands, Bohol, the northern and central portions of Negros Oriental (Canlaon City, Vallehermoso, City of Guihulngan, La Libertad, Jimalalud, Tayasan, Ayungon, Bindoy, Mabinay, Manjuyod, Bais City, City of Tanjay, Amlan, San Jose), the northern and central portions of Negros Occidental (San Carlos City, Isabela, La Carlota City, Cadiz City, Bago City, Enrique B. Magalona, Toboso, Valladolid, Salvador Benedicto, Sagay City, San Enrique, City of Kabankalan, Hinigaran, Bacolod City, La Castellana, Moises Padilla, Murcia, City of Escalante, Binalbagan, Calatrava, Silay City, Pulupandan, City of Himamaylan, City of Victorias, City of Talisay, Pontevedra, Manapla), Guimaras, the northern and central portions of Iloilo (Calinog, New Lucena, Maasin, Estancia, Batad, Oton, Concepcion, Pavia, Dueñas, Balasan, Barotac Nuevo, Ajuy, Iloilo City, Anilao, San Dionisio, San Miguel, Mina, Santa Barbara, Barotac Viejo, Leganes, Carles, Dingle, Zarraga, Bingawan, Cabatuan, Alimodian, Dumangas, San Rafael, San Enrique, Badiangan, Banate, City of Passi, Pototan, Lambunao, Lemery, Sara, Janiuay), and Capiz Mindanao The rest of Surigao del Norte, the northern portion of Surigao del Sur (Carrascal, Cantilan, Madrid, Carmen, Lanuza, Cortes, City of Tandag, San Miguel, Tago, Bayabas, Cagwait), the northeastern portion of Agusan del Sur (Sibagat), and the northern portion of Agusan del Norte (Kitcharao, Jabonga, Santiago, Tubay, City of Cabadbaran, Remedios T. Romualdez, Magallanes)
Meteorological Condition	A tropical cyclone will affect the locality.Winds of 39-61 km/h may be expected in at least 36 hours or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. (When the tropical cyclone develops very close to the locality a shorter lead time of the occurrence of the winds will be specified in the warning bulletin.)
Impact of the Wind	Very light or no damage to low risk structures.Light damage to medium to high risk structures.Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged.Twigs of small trees may be broken.Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Precautionary Measures	When the tropical cyclone is strong or is intensifying and is moving closer, this signal may be upgraded to the next higher level.The waves on coastal waters may gradually develop and become bigger and higher.The people are advised to listen to the latest severe weather bulletin issued by PAGASA every six hours. In the meantime, business may be carried out as usual except when flood occur.Disaster preparedness is activated to alert status.
What To Do	Inspect your house if necessary repair/fixing is needed.Clean up drainage system.Harvest crops tha can be yielded.Monitor the latest Severe Weather Bulletin issued By PAGASA every six hours and hourly updates.

Tropical Cyclone Bulletin Archive

SOURCE: https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin